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DISENGAGING NON-STATE ARMED GROUPS (NSAGs) IN CONFLICT RESOLUTION: CASE STUDY OF THE LORD'S RESISTANCE ARMY (LRA) IN NORTHERN UGANDA


By LARE OKUNGU
Regional Focal Point 1 for Africa
South-South Network (SSN) for Non-State Armed Group Engagement
Nairobi, Kenya

Introduction:
The puffed - out pose of a toad in the river does not prevent a cow from drinking the water
-A Kenyan (Luo Community) proverb

Meaning:
States can flex their muscles publicly regarding international conventions and agreements that have been adopted by the states, but these gestures may not necessarily touch the conscience of NSAGs, who might go about their daily operations totally inured to the threats. Hence, a more innovative approach may be needed to engage the NSAGs to induce them into accepting the international norms and agreements. Universalization must mean exactly what the word denotes, which implies an all-inclusive engagement process involving NSAGs.


The LRA

A recent communiqué from Northern Uganda Advocacy Partnership for Peace (NUAPP) - this comprises Conciliation Resources, Christian Aid, and World Vision- made interesting reading. The opening paragraph went thus:

" 'Operation Lighting thunder' was yet to yield evidence that the Lord's Resistance Army (LRA) has been disrupted or destroyed as a movement. On the contrary the situation has moved from a stalled peace process to a very hot war, and as in most conflicts, it is civilians who have paid (and are continuing to pay) the price for the calculated risks taken by leaders in the region..."

Four things emerge from a close look at this excerpt:

First, it is discerned that a hitherto purely Acholi/Langi dominated ragtag Ugandan rebel group has transformed itself into a runaway movement straddling international borders (of Uganda, Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) and Sudan).  NUAPP claims that the LRA's face is now a composite of ' abducted, either from past campaigns in Northern Uganda or from recent activity in Sudan and DRC.' - i.e. the LRA's combatants are made up of Ugandan, Sudanese and Congolese nationals.  There is hence likelihood that purely Ugandan interests do not motivate LRA.

Secondly, is the failure of the principals to successfully engage the NSAG in the peace process (the Juba Peace Process), despite the vast resources proffered by western humanitarian activists for facilitation of the engagement process.

Thirdly, one notices the wide-ranging atrocities visited upon civilians caught in the 'very hot war, courtesy of the ' leaders in the region' who have a proclivity for prestidigitation (One would easily recommend that the leaders are encouraged to fall on their sword one by one).

Fourthly, it is observed that despite the concerted joint military offensive from DRC, Uganda, and Sudan armed forces, LRA's pennant continues to flutter unsubdued.

The subsequent question, hence, is: What really is driving the 'very hot war' in the Great Lakes region?  Three state-parties to key international conventions/norms - e.g. International Humanitarian Law (IHL) and the Human Rights (HR)  - and the Juba peace agreements (Uganda, Sudan and the DRC) are unable to resolve the LRA issue despite the vast technical, financial and military resources available to them for this purpose.  These countries are parties to: The four 1949 Geneva Conventions (which all include Common Article 3); the Convention on the Rights of Persons with Disabilities; Optional Protocol to the Convention on the Rights of the Child on the involvement of Children in Armed Conflicts (Protocol 11); Protocol Additional to the Geneva Convention of 12 August 1949, and Relating to the Protection of Victims of Non-International Armed Conflicts (Protocol 11; and the Convention on Cluster Munitions. These instruments open the floodgate to assistance for the three partner states from the international community.

Despite all these avenues the three principal states caught up in the web of conflict with the LRA are unable to weave anything sensible and tangible which would bring the sad Northern Uganda saga to an end. The desperate intonation in the NUAPP communiqué underscores this helplessness.  Even the international community (read the formidable' white culture’), with all its muscles, seems down on its knees in the face of the apparent sheer indomitableness of the LRA. The ' white culture' network is in an apparent frenetic mode regarding the LRA challenge to the ' West's established peace process template'.

The rhetorical question still is: What really is at the heart of the 'very hot war' in Northern Uganda, that has spilled into the Garamba area of the DRC, following the stalled peace talks in Juba, South Sudan?  Where - or when - did the principal players in the peace process miss the boat?

In the first place, the general approach adopted in handling the conflict situation in Northern Uganda was a faux pas: it was not dialogistic.  It was based mainly on threats.

Secondly, it was not dialectical.  It lacked local ambiance.

One and two above combined led to the failure in the 'ownership test', hence the lack of full acceptance by the LRA movement of the process.

Thirdly, the conveners of the peace process failed the 'Morphology test ‘: They never assessed the LRA movement's ' form' correctly. They did not   discern the hydra-headedness of LRA as a movement. They only concentrated on the military aspects of the movement, without deciphering the greater hidden interplay of interests and actors – and failed to observe that political interests could be only one dimension of the   interests' dynamics. The players and umpires   seemed to concentrate on only one head of the movement that appeared to have a longer neck, without realizing that there were other longer necks lying low or hidden. They failed to recognize that before the current spiritual head of the movement, Joseph Kony, took over, there was "Prophetess" Alice Lakwena, who came to pass - yet the LRA grew in stature and strength.  The implication here is that   there must be hidden forces driving the LRA movement, so much so that even with the absence of Kony, the LRA pennant would still continue to fly high. The challenge therefore is to configure what makes the LRA movement to survive despite the major odds against it. It would be naïve to simply dismiss the LRA as an Acholi/Langi rebel group pitting itself against the combatants of Uganda’s president, Yoweri Kaguta Museveni. The potent question to ask is: Who really owns the LRA? What forces drive it?
 
Fourthly, what also weighed heavily against the peace- process package is that the interlocutors lacked a firm background in engaging NSAGs.

Fifthly, the seemingly simultaneous peace-process and the blitzkrieg in the field painted the peace-process as a counter-insurgency platform for military intelligence- gathering, and hence this created a credibility gap between the LRA movement and the conveners of the peace-process.

What solution, therefore, does NUAPP propose for the LRA issue? It intriguingly states:  'NUAPP urges that efforts currently underway within the international community to understand and resolve violent conflict in the Great Lakes region places greater emphasis on the LRA. NUAPP commends the recent extension of the mandate of United Nations Mission In The Democratic Republic of Congo  (MONUC), as per UN Security Council Resolution (UNSCR) 1843 and 1856, and the Group of Experts  (UNSCR 1857), but urges that MONUC be bolstered to protect civilians in northeast DRC and that the scope of the Group of Experts' mandate be extended beyond the current focus on the Kivus and Ituri areas to the activities of the LRA in Orientale Province.’ NUAPP concludes:  ‘We encourage the government of Uganda to speedily establish the Special Division of the High Court and prepare to try Okot Odhiambo.’(The latter is an LRA leader).

In other words, use the whip and force to keep the LRA in check. Ironically, this show of force against the LRA continues to fail both as a tactic as well as a strategy to defeat the LRA. Despite mustering all the technical, financial, and military resources from the west against the LRA, this master plan has failed to produce the desired results. The whole operation has hit a wall. What one observes currently is a vicious circle of frenzied efforts by the ' White culture' system to re-invent itself and keep its interests alive in the self-perpetuated   conflicts in the Great Lakes region. Neither the UN monolith, nor the European Union satellite, nor specific hegemonic individual states such as Britain, are able to contain the LRA movement nor its activities in the Great Lakes region, including the three directly impacted states of Uganda, DRC and Sudan. These combined interest groups have all failed individually and severally to ' " prevent and suppress" prohibited activities undertaken by persons or on territory under [a state -party's] jurisdiction or control'.

These linguistic sprinklings are common phrases in the language of international treaties adopted and ratified/accepted/approved/acceded to by state parties, a recent instance being the Convention on Cluster Munitions. The language in these   treaties largely demonstrates the naivety of the drafting personnel. Experience on the ground has shown that NSAGs cannot be 'prevent[ed] and control [led] absolutely when it comes to involvement in ' prohibited activities'. As a matter-of-fact they can only be 'talked with and persuaded from' involvement in prohibited activities, after winning their understanding and gradual approval - and confidence.

If anything, NSAGs do not always feel bound by the Laws/Treaties crafted by State-Parties. Nevertheless, they are often open to discussions regarding the pros and cons of the  ' prohibited activities', and can often in principle be persuaded to adopt positive lines of action in executing their field operations.  They nevertheless need to be appropriately engaged first. This is where the choice of suitable interlocutors greatly enhances an NSAG's engagement initiative.

Hence NUAPP’s suggestion that LRA be whipped into line is therefore misguided and counter productive, and can inadvertently lead to grosser humanitarian violations by both camps in the war zones. After all, there is no clear evidence of concrete foolproof monitoring and verification mechanisms regarding the on going 'very hot war' in the Great Lakes region. which can facilitate accurate pinpointing of transgressors. This includes NUAPP's own mechanisms.

Reliance on what could be mere hearsay must be avoided, as this could lead to deadly consequences in the battlegrounds.

SSN has a great reservoir of experience in engaging NSAGs in Africa, Asia, and South America. The lessons learned from the engagement activities are invaluable. Humanitarian activists can tap into this fountain of knowledge and experience globally. 

CONCLUSION

Unilateral fiats and declarations by state-parties to international conventions and other agreements that are inclusive of the dynamics of NSAGs are failure-bound if an all-round goodwill is not sought and cultivated from all the players irrespective of their legal status.

Deliberate efforts need to be made by all those concerned to keenly understand and appreciate the local ambiance in a conflict situation, and appropriately involving knowledgeable and experienced local and international interlocutors versed in NSAGs’ dynamics. For instance, it is unlikely that the LRA issue is simply a North-South Ugandan issue/confrontation, as originally propagated. It is bigger and more complex than that. The concomitant question is: What drives the LRA issue in East and Central Africa (inclusive of the Great Lakes Region)? Who owns the LRA issue?

Activities/utterances of 'do-good' international agencies in conflict zones may not necessarily enhance peace in those zones. If not properly screened, these utterances could easily worsen conflict situations in those zones.

Use of 'force' or draconian measures to enforce international conventions and agreements in conflict zones may impact cumulatively counter-productively and not lead to the desired results as originally envisaged.

Finally, there is need to monitor, verify and evaluate the real impact (social, economic, cultural) of international humanitarian aid agencies in conflict, or other emergencies, zones. This is necessary to mitigate the current trend of high-dependency syndromes that currently affect the   productive capacities and self-reliance of the populace in conflict and other emergency zones. All a keen observer currently witnesses in such zones are huge and expensive fuel-guzzling 4x4 vehicles crisscrossing the terrains generally amidst humbled, weather-beaten, hungry and deprived, weary populace, that is even made progressively underprivileged due to the presence of the plethora of aid agencies. The populace even gets ‘de-cultured ‘ as a result of its daily interface with aid agencies.

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